Attachment & The
Ego
By David Hobart
17 August 2009
Trading consistently is not
about prediction. Rather, it is about identifying possible
outcomes, assigning probabilities to them, and then structuring
bets around those probabilities. Having a process which
consistently identifies suitable opportunities, overlaid with
robust execution and risk management capabilities, will allow
you to remain unconcerned about individual trade
outcomes.
Despite your best intentions,
even when you have a good process, attachments can nonetheless
creep in to your trading. When they do, it is usually due to a
number of common reasons.
The Sources of
Attachment
Outcome focused, not
process oriented
By focusing on generating X%
over the month/quarter/yeTHe mar, and not simply focusing on
your process, you are trying to bend the market to your own
will. Having a good process with positive expectancy will allow
the returns to turn up in their own time. Trying to shift the
market with your will is unproductive; rather, shifting your
will about the market creates a space of freedom to listen and
observe, allowing you to capture the genuine opportunities as
they arise. Like surfing, you can’t force a set of waves to
turn up, but by listening and observing the ebbs and flows of
the ocean, you’ll be able to paddle into a position to ride
them.
Projection
In my trading process, I have
a macro-economic (macro) and geopolitical framework from which
I identify possible trading opportunities. It involves
identifying markets that common sense economics would dictate
are unsustainably out of balance. Harvesting trading ideas
based on a macro framework can offer fantastic risk reward
opportunities. It is easy to think that this strategy revolves
around prediction and often investors will want to know what I
think about the future. When I fall for this trap and project
my idea of the future onto the markets, I become attached and
lose flexibility.
For my strategy to work, it
requires patience and objectivity, both of which remain elusive
if you attach part of your ego/identity to an idea. It is
helpful to communicate with those around you in such a way that
you and your trading style are not identified with a particular
market direction. Whether they are investors or your immediate
family, setting up expectations and educating those around you
can be of great help in ensuring you remain flexible in your
approach.
Scarcity
If you are reliant on certain
profit outcomes within unrealistic time horizons, you will at
some stage inevitably experience attachment. Make sure that
your trading business has enough room to weather the inevitable
drawdowns that are reasonable within your strategy. If you are
under capitalized, your thoughts around scarcity will project
onto the world, and it becomes highly likely that you’ll run
into difficulty. It is possible to trade profitably when under
capitalised, but it takes considerable mental
discipline.
Two
wills
It seems to me that human
beings have two wills. There is one will, which is intrinsic
and in the flow of nature. The other is conscious, able to
observe, but often resists the natural flow of the other. I
call them the creative will, and the ego. When they are in
harmony, life works. When they are in conflict, life is
difficult.
Ultimately, the source of all
attachments is related to ego. This is simply because the ego
is often dissatisfied with merely observing the world. To have
expression, it projects its own ideas sourced in the past, onto
the future, creating cycles and repetitive behavioral
patterns.
The alignment of these two
wills can only occur in the present moment. It is only in the
moment that you can observe. So long as you are projecting your
(past) ideas upon the future, you are not observing what is
currently going on. Your ego becomes attached to its ideas, as
they give it identity. This is the source of all conflict and
attachment. Stay in the moment, and your life and your trading
will work.
Market
Insights
Each month, I publish my
thoughts and current market exposures in the Apeiron Global
Macro Fund’s monthly performance reports. These can be accessed
via http://www.apeiron.com.au/reports.html
.
If you would like to find out more
about David
Hobart’s trading coaching
and mentoring programs, please email David
at dhobart@traderemotions.com.au
.
Disclaimer: The contents
of www.traderemotions.com.au
is general information only and in no way provides advice in
a personal or general nature. David Hobart and his related
entities can not be held responsible for any loss, cost or
expense resulting from your activities related to the
subject matter in this document and or relating to www.traderemotions.com.au
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